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    A pre-school age girl helps her parents pick out veggies in the produce section at the grocery store. She is reaching for a red pepper.

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    if it seems too cheap, it is too cheap. There’s something wrong somewhere along the way.”

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    Ukraine could lack seeds for grain crops for years

    Ukraine could lack seeds for grain crops for years

    Grains of wheat pictured at a mill in Beirut, Lebanon, March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

    IMF, World Bank, WFP and WTO urge coordinated action on food security

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    Tony Montalban in an empty glasshouse at Roydon in the Lea Valley.

    Surging energy prices leave British glasshouses empty

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    "People need time at point of sale to learn to eat in a way that protects the planet"

    Shifting to care – the benefits of being the most inconvenient supermarket

    A pre-school age girl helps her parents pick out veggies in the produce section at the grocery store. She is reaching for a red pepper.

    Exploding the five fat myths of ethical food

    if it seems too cheap, it is too cheap. There’s something wrong somewhere along the way.”

    ‘Why’s chocolate so cheap?’: Aussies call for transparency

    Ukraine could lack seeds for grain crops for years

    Ukraine could lack seeds for grain crops for years

    Grains of wheat pictured at a mill in Beirut, Lebanon, March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

    IMF, World Bank, WFP and WTO urge coordinated action on food security

    Farmer in Ubud rice fields, Bali

    Pesticides are not delivering food security and should be phased out: UN rapporteur

    A group of researchers works at the Future Seeds gene bank in Palmira, Colombia November 11, 2021. Picture taken November 11, 2021. Courtesy of International Center for Tropical Agriculture

    Crop scientists use genomic sequencing, artificial intelligence and machine learning

    At least 35,000 pigs had to be culled last year due to worker shortages.

    Labour shortages could cause permanent damage to farming

    Tony Montalban in an empty glasshouse at Roydon in the Lea Valley.

    Surging energy prices leave British glasshouses empty

    Miki Mistrati has seen children as young as eight working with machetes. Pic: Made in Copenhagen

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    A pre-school age girl helps her parents pick out veggies in the produce section at the grocery store. She is reaching for a red pepper.

    Exploding the five fat myths of ethical food

    if it seems too cheap, it is too cheap. There’s something wrong somewhere along the way.”

    ‘Why’s chocolate so cheap?’: Aussies call for transparency

    Ukraine could lack seeds for grain crops for years

    Ukraine could lack seeds for grain crops for years

    Grains of wheat pictured at a mill in Beirut, Lebanon, March 1, 2022. REUTERS/Mohamed Azakir

    IMF, World Bank, WFP and WTO urge coordinated action on food security

    Farmer in Ubud rice fields, Bali

    Pesticides are not delivering food security and should be phased out: UN rapporteur

    Rice farmer in Vietnam

    Right to seeds is crucial for the right to food: Geneva Academy

    Current genome-editing projects taking place at CGIAR centers

    Global approach to labelling needed for gene-edited crops

    The Future Seeds gene bank near Cali, Colombia. Pic: Juan Pablo Marin

    Bezos-backed genebank in race against climate change

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Home Topics Economy

Food prices will stay high, hurting poor countries

In 2021 they hit their highest point for a decade

November 9, 2021
in In the news, Business, Security, Agriculture
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Food prices will stay high, hurting poor countries
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The Economist says that Covid-19 had a counter-intuitive effect on food prices. In early 2020, when much of the world went into lockdown, the fear was that stockpiling and closed borders would cause prices to rise. Instead they barely budged. It was only months later, when the pandemic seemed to ease off in the rich world and economies reopened, that prices started to climb alarmingly fast. By May 2021 they had reached their highest point since 2011, after rising by 40 per cent in 12 months, according to an index from the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation.

In 2022 the same forces that created this surge will continue to cause trouble, which means there is little chance that prices will cool. A key factor explaining the boom is an outbreak of swine flu in China in 2018, which reduced its pig herd by half. That forced the country to import a lot of pork and alternative sources of protein (chiefly poultry and fish), along with the grain to feed them, throughout 2019 and 2020, reducing global stocks. The ensuing restocking seemed to be nearly over by the middle of 2021, but evidence that the disease has been spreading again is feeding fears of another cull. Those doubts will persist in 2022, helping to keep food markets volatile.

Dearer agricultural commodities will cause great harm in developing countries, because their populations eat much less processed food: more eggs and coarse grain, fewer chocolate bars and ready-meals. And processing margins there are often thinner. The harm will be exacerbated by other problems that hit poor countries the hardest, such as the depreciation of local currencies, covid-related restrictions and disruptions, and the loss of household income because of the pandemic and its fallout. A powerful remedy would be vaccination, so that economies outside the rich world can reopen for good and their incomes start to rise again. Unfortunately the prospects for rapid progress on that front are dim.

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Tags: poultryVaccinecommoditiesPoor countriesCovid-19PricesChinaFoodFood and Agriculture OrganizationEconomistProtectionismEggsfishGrain
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